UKCP18 Climate Projections: impacts on natural capital assets

The updated UK Climate Projections, UKCP18, are due for release in November 2018. These projections will be more scientifically authoritative and will enable a better understanding of the potential effects of climate change on the UK’s Natural Capital.

Our recent work for the Climate Change Committee Adaptation Sub Committee explored land use change as an adaptive response to climate change across England. The work considered how natural capital asset value could be maintained through informed and timely decision making. It will help us to understand the importance of early adaptation to land use change and its potential benefits and trade-offs. The new projections in UKCP18 will help planners and land managers continue with this.

Following our UK Climate Projections 2018 blog, Murray Dale explained in his improved rainfall projections and extremes blog, that UKCP18 will contain more detailed information on potential weather extremes. This is important and something UK communities are increasingly becoming aware of. The information is planned to be presented in ways that will help adaptation decision making.

The dynamic balance of managing our Natural Capital assets, upon which we depend for our food, freshwater and wellbeing, will change as a result of climate change. As a result, it is even more important to understand initially how natural capital, or the abiotic and biotic stocks, impact the direct and indirect services provided.

We welcome the new work behind the UKCP18 projections, as it will allow us all to make better informed decisions on how we can conserve natural capital asset value for future generations.

Contributing to resilience

Climate change is recognised as one of the biggest challenges facing future generations and already affects present-day decisions.

Click our interactive guide to explore how our work contributes to increasing the resilience of communities, businesses, infrastructure and the environment to future climate change impacts.

Want to know more?

Email Rachelle Ngai for more information on natural capital and climate change. You can also find out more about our work in this area on our climate resilience web page.



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