Data and user guidance from FUTURE-DRAINAGE Published

On 22 July uplifts from the UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) project FUTURE-DRAINAGE were released for the first time to coincide with the UK Climate Projections (UKCP) Local update.

Funded by the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) UK Climate Resilience Programmes, this Newcastle University-led project also saw us working alongside the Met Office and Loughborough University to collect and share data on future rainfall changes.

The first user application of the new UKCP Local (2.2km) projections, this data provides new estimates of short-duration precipitation extremes.

“Understanding the impacts of changes to rainfall intensities in the future is vital for long-term investment planning in the water industry and wider flood risk community. Rainfall estimates are made using standard Flood Estimation Handbook (FEH) data to test the resilience of existing drainage systems and flood resilience schemes, and to design those of the future. To allow for climate change effects, the rainfall uplifts produced by FUTURE-DRAINAGE can be applied to FEH data to allow for future projected increases in rainfall. The uplifts produced vary by location, rainfall event duration and event rarity (return period) and supersede those produced on a UK Water Industry Research project in 2017.

The uplifts and their output format have been developed in close consultation with a project stakeholder group comprising representatives of many UK water and sewerage companies and UK regulators. This information represents a world first: countrywide climate change allowances for high-intensity rainfall derived from a convection-permitting climate model with quantified uncertainty.” Murray Dale, Technical Director

Want to know more?

For more information on this project please email Murray Dale.

Leave a Reply